Serie D - Girone D · 3 April 2026AI PICK
Pistoiesevs
Crema
4 - 2Full time · 4 of 6 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.8%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +14.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectPistoiese Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Combo Winner : Pistoiese and -3.5 goals
How the two sides compared
Pistoiese
Crema
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 6 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Pistoiese Win
- Edge
- +14.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 3.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Goals Over/Under
Under 3.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Pistoiese (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 6 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.