Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Pistoiese badgePistoiesevsPiacenza badgePiacenza

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+23.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +23.9%
Our model76.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 23.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Pistoiese badge

Pistoiese

Attack86
Defence100
Form74
Piacenza badge

Piacenza

Attack81
Defence62
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.9%Correct
Our model76.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+23.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model69.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Pistoiese Win

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Pistoiese (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.