USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh RiverhoundsvsFC Tulsa badgeFC Tulsa

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
44.8%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.23

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model55.5%
The market44.8%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack51
Defence84
Form61
FC Tulsa badge

FC Tulsa

Attack44
Defence49
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-12.5
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market44.8%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.23

Draw No Bet

Pittsburgh Riverhounds (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market50.5%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market53.2%
Edge
-9.6
Odds
1.88

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

13.2%

1-0

8.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.