USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 13 June 2026AI PICK

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh RiverhoundsvsIndy Eleven badgeIndy Eleven

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+18.0 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +18.0%
Our model65.6%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 18.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack59
Defence60
Form64
Indy Eleven badge

Indy Eleven

Attack60
Defence64
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.0%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.3%Miss
Our model64.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model57.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Pittsburgh Riverhounds (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.2%

1-2

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.