USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh RiverhoundsvsRhode Island badgeRhode Island

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
51.1%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model61.2%
The market51.1%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack47
Defence82
Form56
Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack71
Defence65
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market51.1%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.7%Miss
Our model58.8%
The market43.1%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model42.8%
The market40.8%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
2.45

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

10.6%

0-2

6.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.