USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh RiverhoundsvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
47.5%
Edge
+13.8 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

MediumEdge +13.8%
Our model61.3%
The market47.5%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack40
Defence100
Form59
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack74
Defence63
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model76.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)

Edge +10.4%Void
Our model68.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.8%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market47.5%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market53.5%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market45.7%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
2.19

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

11.1%

0-2

8.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.