Platensevs
Penarol
1 - 1Correct
Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 70.4%
- Markets called
- 2 of 2 right
- Final score
- 1 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40
High confidenceEdge -1.0%
Our model70.4%
The market71.4%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Platense
Attack29
Defence53
Form33
Penarol
Attack53
Defence50
Form47
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model70.4%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model43.1%
The market44.4%
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 2.25
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Penarol Win
Our model38.7%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.