Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Plaza Colonia badgePlaza ColoniavsColón badgeColón

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

LowEdge +2.5%
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack62
Defence68
Form58
Colón badge

Colón

Attack45
Defence53
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.4%
The market84.7%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Plaza Colonia (DNB)

Void
Our model61.4%
The market67.1%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.0%Close
Our model53.7%
The market43.7%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
2.29

Match Winner

Plaza Colonia Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4% · actual

1-0

9.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.