Plaza Coloniavs
Fenix
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.8%
- Market said
- 40.0%
- Edge
- +30.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.50
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50
The market underrated this by 30.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +30.8
- Odds
- 2.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +13.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Plaza Colonia (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Plaza Colonia Win
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.68
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.