Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Plaza Colonia badgePlaza ColoniavsOriental badgeOriental

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +6.0%
Our model72.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack57
Defence100
Form63
Oriental badge

Oriental

Attack51
Defence62
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Plaza Colonia Win

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model56.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Plaza Colonia (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.4%

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.