Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Plaza Colonia badgePlaza ColoniavsUruguay Montevideo badgeUruguay Montevideo

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.13

LowEdge +8.2%
Our model54.6%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack59
Defence54
Form50
Uruguay Montevideo badge

Uruguay Montevideo

Attack44
Defence43
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.2%
The market89.3%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Plaza Colonia (DNB)

Correct
Our model70.4%
The market73.0%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market46.4%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.13

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market62.7%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.52

Match Winner

Plaza Colonia Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market57.5%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.74

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7% · actual

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.