League One badgeLeague One · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Plymouth badgePlymouthvsStockport County badgeStockport County

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
55.8%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model58.4%
The market55.8%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Plymouth (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market55.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market61.1%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Plymouth Win

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market44.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

8.8%

3-1

7.5%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.