Czech Liga badgeCzech Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Plzen badgePlzenvsFK Jablonec badgeFK Jablonec

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model62.0%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Plzen badge

Plzen

Attack46
Defence69
Form55
FK Jablonec badge

FK Jablonec

Attack44
Defence57
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.6%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.21

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
2.02

Match Winner

Plzen Win

Correct
Our model58.7%
The market60.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.9%
The market60.2%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.66

Draw No Bet

Plzen (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.