Plzenvs
FK Jablonec
5 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.0%
- Market said
- 49.5%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.02
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Plzen
FK Jablonec
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.21
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 2.02
Match Winner
Plzen Win
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 1.66
Draw No Bet
Plzen (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.7%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.