Cup badgeCup · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Podhale Nowy Targ badgePodhale Nowy TargvsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badgePogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
59.5%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model61.3%
The market59.5%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Podhale Nowy Targ badge

Podhale Nowy Targ

Attack64
Defence44
Form49
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badge

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Attack45
Defence62
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model82.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market59.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market64.1%
Edge
-11.6
Odds
1.56

Draw No Bet

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Win

Miss
Our model42.2%
The market44.8%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
2.23

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

10.1%

2-0

6.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.