I Liga badgeI Liga · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badgePogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPuszcza Niepołomice badgePuszcza Niepołomice

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
47.3%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

LowEdge +6.5%
Our model53.8%
The market47.3%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badge

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Attack38
Defence46
Form28
Puszcza Niepołomice badge

Puszcza Niepołomice

Attack41
Defence39
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +4.4%
Our model74.8%
The market70.4%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market47.3%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market62.0%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.55

Match Winner

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Win

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model43.3%
The market38.8%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.58

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0% · actual

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.