I Liga badgeI Liga · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badgePogoń Grod. MazowieckivsStal Rzeszów badgeStal Rzeszów

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
35.4%
Edge
+18.3 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.70

LowEdge +18.3%
Our model53.7%
The market35.4%

The market underrated this by 18.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badge

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Attack37
Defence57
Form41
Stal Rzeszów badge

Stal Rzeszów

Attack39
Defence28
Form23

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.6
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.3%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market35.4%
Edge
+18.3
Odds
2.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Our model49.8%
The market66.6%
Edge
-16.8
Odds
1.43

Match Winner

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market63.3%
Edge
-20.2
Odds
1.58

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.2%

1-1

14.8% · actual

0-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.