I Liga badgeI Liga · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badgePogoń Grod. MazowieckivsWarta Poznań badgeWarta Poznań

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.61

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model61.2%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki badge

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Attack50
Defence56
Form45
Warta Poznań badge

Warta Poznań

Attack63
Defence32
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model77.6%
The market82.0%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market64.0%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.51

Draw No Bet

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.3%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Win

Correct
Our model41.3%
The market44.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.