I Liga badgeI Liga · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Pogoń Siedlce badgePogoń SiedlcevsPolonia Warszawa badgePolonia Warszawa

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
57.4%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64

MediumEdge +0.4%
Our model57.8%
The market57.4%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pogoń Siedlce badge

Pogoń Siedlce

Attack51
Defence33
Form30
Polonia Warszawa badge

Polonia Warszawa

Attack50
Defence47
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +19.2%
Our model68.2%
The market49.0%
Edge
+19.2
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model57.8%
The market57.4%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.64

Draw No Bet

Pogoń Siedlce (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market58.3%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Pogoń Siedlce Win

Edge +20.9%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market22.2%
Edge
+20.9
Odds
4.51

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

1-2

7.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.