I Liga badgeI Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Pogoń Siedlce badgePogoń SiedlcevsStal Mielec badgeStal Mielec

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
45.7%
Edge
+11.4 pts
Best odds
2.19

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Stal Mielec Win

Match Winner · best price 2.19

MediumEdge +11.4%
Our model57.1%
The market45.7%

The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pogoń Siedlce badge

Pogoń Siedlce

Attack39
Defence33
Form27
Stal Mielec badge

Stal Mielec

Attack61
Defence26
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model78.9%
The market76.3%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Stal Mielec (DNB)

Edge +15.3%Miss
Our model73.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Stal Mielec Win

Edge +11.4%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market45.7%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
2.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market61.3%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model53.8%
The market56.5%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

0-2

8.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.