Ponferradinavs
Barakaldo
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.4%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +12.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ponferradina
Barakaldo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Ponferradina Win
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.2
- Odds
- 2.38
Draw No Bet
Ponferradina (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.