Primera División RFEF - Play Offs badgePrimera División RFEF - Play Offs · 13 June 2026AI PICK

Ponferradina badgePonferradinavsCelta de Vigo II badgeCelta de Vigo II

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+5.7 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +5.7%
Our model58.1%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ponferradina badge

Ponferradina

Attack38
Defence100
Form62
Celta de Vigo II badge

Celta de Vigo II

Attack50
Defence55
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model50.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Ponferradina (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ponferradina Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.9%

1-1

10.3%

1-0

9.9%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.