Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Ponferradina badgePonferradinavsTenerife badgeTenerife

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+17.3 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +17.3%
Our model59.3%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 17.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ponferradina badge

Ponferradina

Attack56
Defence100
Form73
Tenerife badge

Tenerife

Attack56
Defence99
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.3%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Ponferradina Win

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model56.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.7%Close
Our model52.9%
The market38.2%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
2.62

Draw No Bet

Ponferradina (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.