Serie B badgeSerie B · 28 July 2026AI PICK

Ponte Preta badgePonte PretavsAthletic Club badgeAthletic Club

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
59.5%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model69.4%
The market59.5%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ponte Preta badge

Ponte Preta

Attack35
Defence26
Form16
Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack35
Defence66
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +14.2%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+14.2
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market59.5%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market54.3%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model38.4%
The market33.3%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model20.0%
The market23.0%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
4.35

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.0%

1-1

14.9% · actual

1-0

14.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.