Serie B badgeSerie B · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Ponte Preta badgePonte PretavsAvai badgeAvai

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
56.9%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model59.4%
The market56.9%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ponte Preta badge

Ponte Preta

Attack31
Defence26
Form7
Avai badge

Avai

Attack57
Defence47
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model77.1%
The market86.2%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Avai (DNB)

Correct
Our model64.7%
The market73.0%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.37

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market56.9%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.9%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Avai Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Close
Our model14.3%
The market16.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.3%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

13.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.