Serie B badgeSerie B · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Ponte Preta badgePonte PretavsGoias badgeGoias

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.5%
Market said
58.9%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model64.5%
The market58.9%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ponte Preta badge

Ponte Preta

Attack26
Defence29
Form16
Goias badge

Goias

Attack40
Defence41
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.6%Close
Our model64.5%
The market58.9%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.60

Draw No Bet

Goias (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market57.2%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Goias Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-15.3
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model21.8%
The market25.1%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
3.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

21.8%

0-1

16.5%

1-1

14.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.