Ponte Pretavs
Goias
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 58.9%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ponte Preta
Goias
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.17
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Goias (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Goias Win
- Edge
- -15.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 3.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
21.8%
0-1
16.5%
1-1
14.4%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.