Serie B · 14 August 2026AI PICK
Ponte Pretavs
Nautico Recife
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.9%
- Edge
- +4.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Nautico Recife (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Nautico Recife Win
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.58
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.6% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.