Ponte Pretavs
São Bernardo
0 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 44.9%
- Edge
- +13.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -11.2
- Odds
- 1.03
Draw No Bet
São Bernardo (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.19
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 1.81
Match Winner
São Bernardo Win
- Edge
- -19.1
- Odds
- 1.41
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 4.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
20.5%
0-0
19.7%
0-2
13.2% · actual
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.