Serie B · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Ponte Pretavs
Sport Recife
1 - 3Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.9%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.65
Draw No Bet
Sport Recife (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Sport Recife Win
- Edge
- -13.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 6.49
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
17.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
9.5%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.