Serie C - Girone B badgeSerie C - Girone B · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Pontedera badgePontederavsLivorno badgeLivorno

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +7.7%
Our model62.3%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Pontedera badge

Pontedera

Attack36
Defence35
Form13
Livorno badge

Livorno

Attack57
Defence42
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Pontedera Win

Miss
Our model45.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Pontedera (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.