Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Pontevedravs
Real Avilés
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.1%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +5.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Pontevedra
Real Avilés
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Pontevedra Win
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.70
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Pontevedra (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.