Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Portimonense badgePortimonensevsLeixoes badgeLeixoes

0 - 2
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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+9.6 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

MediumEdge +9.6%
Our model58.2%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 9.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Portimonense badge

Portimonense

Attack46
Defence41
Form44
Leixoes badge

Leixoes

Attack100
Defence29
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model83.1%
The market71.9%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.39

Draw No Bet

Leixoes (DNB)

Edge +23.0%Correct
Our model77.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+23.0
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Close
Our model58.2%
The market48.6%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.02

Match Winner

Leixoes Win

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market41.3%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.42

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market55.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-3

8.4%

0-2

7.9% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.