Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Portimonense badgePortimonensevsVizela badgeVizela

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model58.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Portimonense badge

Portimonense

Attack46
Defence30
Form38
Vizela badge

Vizela

Attack46
Defence22
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market59.5%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.68

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market49.6%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market31.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.