Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Portland Timbers badgePortland TimbersvsSporting Kansas City badgeSporting Kansas City

6 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+16.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Portland Timbers Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +16.8%
Our model66.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 16.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Portland Timbers badge

Portland Timbers

Attack47
Defence38
Form36
Sporting Kansas City badge

Sporting Kansas City

Attack25
Defence35
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Portland Timbers Win

Edge +16.8%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Portland Timbers (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model61.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.6%
The market13.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.36

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.6%

2-0

11.9%

1-1

9.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.