Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Porto BA badgePorto BAvsVitória ES badgeVitória ES

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.4%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+14.9 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +14.9%
Our model61.4%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 14.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Porto BA badge

Porto BA

Attack45
Defence31
Form42
Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack93
Defence65
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.9%Miss
Our model61.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+14.9
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model60.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Our model38.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.0%

1-2

9.9%

0-2

9.0%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.