Serie D · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Porto Velhovs
Independência
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.5%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +5.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Porto Velho
Independência
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Porto Velho (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Porto Velho Win
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9% · actual
2-0
9.0%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.