Championship badgeChampionship · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Portsmouth badgePortsmouthvsBirmingham badgeBirmingham

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+13.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Portsmouth Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.5%
Our model63.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 13.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Portsmouth badge

Portsmouth

Attack54
Defence41
Form47
Birmingham badge

Birmingham

Attack36
Defence57
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Portsmouth Win

Edge +13.5%Miss
Our model63.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Portsmouth (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Void
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.1%
The market63.7%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.