Championship · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Portsmouthvs
Cardiff
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 52.9%
- Edge
- +5.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.89
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89
The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Portsmouth
Cardiff
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 1.89
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Portsmouth (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Portsmouth Win
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 2.35
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.49
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.