Primera División badgePrimera División · 31 July 2026AI PICK

Portuguesa FC badgePortuguesa FCvsCarabobo FC badgeCarabobo FC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.6%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+19.2 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +19.2%
Our model71.6%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 19.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Portuguesa FC badge

Portuguesa FC

Attack65
Defence62
Form51
Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack75
Defence52
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +19.2%Miss
Our model71.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+19.2
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +26.9%Miss
Our model71.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
+26.9
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Carabobo FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Carabobo FC Win

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market41.7%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

9.6%

2-1

7.7%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.