Primera División badgePrimera División · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Portuguesa FC badgePortuguesa FCvsTrujillanos FC badgeTrujillanos FC

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Portuguesa FC Win

Match Winner · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +0.4%
Our model60.3%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Portuguesa FC badge

Portuguesa FC

Attack58
Defence63
Form56
Trujillanos FC badge

Trujillanos FC

Attack28
Defence30
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market89.3%
Edge
-14.0
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Portuguesa FC (DNB)

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Portuguesa FC Win

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.6% · actual

2-0

12.9%

1-1

12.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.