Portuguesa FCvs
Trujillanos FC
1 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.3%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +0.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectPortuguesa FC Win
Match Winner · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Portuguesa FC
Trujillanos FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.0
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa FC (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Portuguesa FC Win
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -10.9
- Odds
- 1.57
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.6% · actual
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.