Serie D badgeSerie D · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Portuguesa RJ badgePortuguesa RJvsNoroeste badgeNoroeste

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+15.3 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +15.3%
Our model62.9%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Portuguesa RJ badge

Portuguesa RJ

Attack68
Defence59
Form53
Noroeste badge

Noroeste

Attack60
Defence59
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.7%Close
Our model61.7%
The market40.0%
Edge
+21.7
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

Portuguesa RJ (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Portuguesa RJ Win

Miss
Our model44.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-0

8.9%

1-1

8.7% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.