Serie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Portuguesavs
Água Santa
0 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.6%
- Market said
- 48.1%
- Edge
- +15.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.08
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08
The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Portuguesa
Água Santa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Portuguesa Win
- Edge
- -11.9
- Odds
- 1.48
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.99
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.