Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Portuguesa badgePortuguesavsAmérica RJ badgeAmérica RJ

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Portuguesa Win
Model confidence
64.5%
Markets called
5 of 5 right
Final score
4 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Portuguesa Win

Match Winner · best price 1.20

MediumEdge -18.8%
Our model64.5%
The market83.3%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Portuguesa badge

Portuguesa

Attack72
Defence67
Form62
América RJ badge

América RJ

Attack53
Defence33
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market90.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.10

Match Winner

Portuguesa Win

Correct
Our model64.5%
The market83.3%
Edge
-18.8
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.3%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+18.3
Odds
2.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market61.7%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Portuguesa (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.6%

2-1

9.7%

1-1

9.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.