Serie D · 11 July 2026AI PICK
Portuguesavs
Marcílio Dias
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.9%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +10.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa (DNB)
- Edge
- +27.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -16.7
- Odds
- 1.10
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Portuguesa Win
- Edge
- -17.3
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.