Serie D · 18 April 2026AI PICK
Pouso Alegrevs
Água Santa
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.9%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Pouso Alegre (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
Pouso Alegre Win
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.