Serie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK
Pouso Alegrevs
Portuguesa
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.5%
- Market said
- 42.0%
- Edge
- +17.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.38
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.38
The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +17.5
- Odds
- 2.38
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.3
- Odds
- 2.38
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Portuguesa Win
- Edge
- -23.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9% · actual
0-2
9.0%
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.