Serie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Pouso Alegrevs
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.0%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.38
Match Winner
Pouso Alegre Win
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 2.55
Draw No Bet
Pouso Alegre (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.1%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.