Serie D - Girone E badgeSerie D - Girone E · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Prato badgePratovsSeravezza badgeSeravezza

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.8%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model65.8%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Prato badge

Prato

Attack47
Defence61
Form44
Seravezza badge

Seravezza

Attack70
Defence99
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Close
Our model65.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Seravezza (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Seravezza Win

Miss
Our model34.3%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model11.5%
The market10.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.5%

1-1

9.9%

1-2

9.3% · actual

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.