Serie D badgeSerie D · 12 April 2026AI PICK

Primavera MG badgePrimavera MGvsAparecidense badgeAparecidense

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+25.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Primavera MG Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +25.2%
Our model75.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 25.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Combo Double chance : Primavera MG or draw and -3.5 goals

How the two sides compared

Primavera MG badge

Primavera MG

Attack8
Defence92
Form33
Aparecidense badge

Aparecidense

Attack0
Defence83
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Primavera MG Win

Edge +25.2%Miss
Our model75.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+25.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Primavera MG (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.