Serie D · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Primavera MGvs
Luverdense
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.9%
- Market said
- 66.7%
- Edge
- +0.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50
The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Primavera MG (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Primavera MG Win
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 2.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.2% · actual
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.6%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.