Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Progreso badgeProgresovsAlbion FC badgeAlbion FC

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.3%
Markets called
1 of 2 right, 1 close
Final score
1 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -6.4%
Our model57.3%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Progreso badge

Progreso

Attack40
Defence41
Form29
Albion FC badge

Albion FC

Attack62
Defence53
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model57.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model52.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Progreso (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Progreso Win

Edge +3.9%
Our model34.7%
The market30.8%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
3.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.0%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.